It’s that time of year again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of all the notable fantasy football-related players throughout June, July and August. We continue with the tight ends. Things haven’t gone well for Noah Fant since he started his career as hot as humanly possible. Unfortunately, he was tied to Drew Lock in an early attack with two wide receivers to take meager target volume from him. Luckily for Fant, things have… can’t be true… stayed the same?! What can we expect from Noah Fant in Fantasy Football 2022? Let’s take a look at his fantasy football player profile!
Noah Fant ADP and AAV:
Average draft position: TE16, 137 overall
Average bid value: $1.1
Noah Fant statistics:
| Year | g | GS | Target | Rec | yards | TD | Target/G | Rec/G | Rec% | Yds/Tgt | Yds/Rec |
| 2021 | 16 | 16 | 90 | 68 | 670 | 4 | 5.63 | 4.25 | 75.6% | 7.44 | 9.85 |
| 2020 | 15 | 14 | 93 | 62 | 673 | 3 | 6.20 | 4.13 | 66.7% | 7.24 | 10.85 |
| 2019 | 16 | 11 | 66 | 40 | 562 | 3 | 4.13 | 2.50 | 60.6% | 8.52 | 14.05 |
| Year | Standard stitches | HPPR points | PPR points | Points/G | HPPR Pts/G | PPR Pts/G | Dots/Target | HPPR Pts/Tgt | PPR Pts/Tgt |
| 2021 | 91 | 125 | 159 | 5.7 | 7.8 | 9.9 | 1.01 | 1.39 | 1.77 |
| 2020 | 87.3 | 118.3 | 149.3 | 5.8 | 7.9 | 10.0 | 0.94 | 1.27 | 1.61 |
| 2019 | 71 | 91 | 111 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 1.08 | 1.38 | 1.68 |
| Year | Air courses | a point | YAC | YAC/Target | YAC/Rec | AYMS | MS target |
| 2021 | 550 | 6.11 | 309 | 3.43 | 4.54 | 14% | 18% |
| 2020 | 622 | 6.69 | 381 | 4.10 | 6.15 | 17% | 20% |
| 2019 | 518 | 7.8 | 330 | 5.00 | 8.25 | 14% | 13% |
Presentation of Noah Fant 2022:
It’s hard to find a tight end who had changed so much and remains exactly the same. Fant leaves a Broncos first team where he stood behind Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton for the targets of a dodgy Drew Lock. Now he’s on a track first sea hawks team where he stands behind DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett targets of an uncertain Drew Lock (or Geno Smith!). There are many words you can say about Fant as a talent, and I filled them in. Long story short: He had an absolutely stellar start to his career, with two 100-plus-yard games and a touchdown in his rookie campaign (the only tight end to ever do that). But since this season, things have been… wobbly.
Fant finished as TE8 in 2020 and was on the verge of a big breakthrough. It didn’t really come in 2021, as he finished as TE12. But, what if I told you that Noah Fant was a plus always useful tight end compared to his TE8 season? In 2021, Fant has finished as TE1 seven times in sixteen games (including two top-five finishes), making him a strong start about half the time. In 2020, that number was just four games in the top 12, half of them in the top five.
If that doesn’t sound like exciting usage numbers from a tight top 12, that’s because, despite his final ranking, Fant wasn’t that. This is because Noah Fant had the Health Bump in both seasons. Fant was TE12 in PPR points per game in his TE8 season, and he was TE14 in 2021. But, he has only missed one game in each of the last two years. The guys ahead of him missed several games, increasing his rating throughout the season despite living on the periphery of utility every week.
And really, not much has changed in Seattle. He’s going to have basically exactly the same situation, so despite the trade doing wonders for Albert Okwuegbunam, Fant won’t see such a bump.
Noah Fant Fantasy Football 2022 Draft Strategy:
Noah Fant salary cap value: $0
Draft Ranking: See your league metrics in a beer sheet!
Given that Noah Fant lives on the periphery of usefulness on a weekly basis, despite his immense talent, it’s hard to justify taking only Noah Fant into your fantasy football drafts. His ADP reflects this, as Fant is TE16 off the board, pick 134. He, Cole Kmet, Irv Smith and Albert Okwuegbunam all have ADP seven picks apart, in the twelfth round in 12-team leagues , indicating that people are taking their second tight end from this range before diving into the kicker and D/ST.
So really, in snake drafts, it depends on who you prefer. With Noah Fant not having the huge advantage of guys like Cole Kmet and Albert Okwuegbunam, I would take them first. But, I would definitely rank Fant over Irv Smith, who feels like he did a lot of theory work. In the end, I’d probably skip that tier and just get Gerald Everett (TE18, 147 overall) as my TE2, instead.
Best case scenario:
Noah Fant and Drew Lock (or Geno Smith) click. Fant finally realizes his skills and finishes as a TE8 after a season of 80 catches, 800 yards and 8 touchdowns. In the Chinese population of Seattle, thanks to the luck carried by the number 8 in Chinese culture, you win your fantasy league.
Worst case scenario:
Noah Fant takes in the sights of his new town and stumbles across Pike Place Fish Market. “Oh, like the crazy Sunday night football videos! he exclaims. He decides to give up his NFL tight end career to live out his days as the face of the fishmongers there for SNF B-roll. He’s still on Sunday Night Football more than the Titans.
Discover all our 2022 player profiles, here.
Want more discussion on the 2022 Fantasy Football Draft? Check out these links!
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
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